Opal 101
Of all the gemstones out there, opal is one of the hardest to assign value. The reasons are obvious, diverse and sometimes subtle. This makes almost every aspect of opal, be it mining, purchasing rough, buying that perfect stone for your significant other or investing for future profit quite a challenge. There are however, a few basic ideas that can assist you in getting a rough estimate of a stones value.
Cost of rough and market fluctuation
From a cutters perspective, opal has to make a profit. A good cutter is capable of spotting and snaring bargains as they occur, but sometimes conditions dictate the price. At the time of writing (16/06/2022) I have watched the price over the last 2 months fluctuate by over 1000 dollars per 100 carats! Generally speaking, prices are dictated by the market, but you will find that sellers will be more reluctant to sell below cost at certain times. Considering the amount of time required to cut a gem I anticipate that some stones in the next few months will be a few hundred over the usual price. I am not immune to all of this, but this cycle I was able to avoid the more outrageous prices- so my stones are relatively unaffected. This is not a future guarantee however. The good news is that recently the price of rough has dipped well below the average price. I think that a lot of buyers have exhausted their funds to keep up their supplies.
Precious or common opal?
The most obvious place to start is whether the opal is valuable at all. I have written in previous posts that opal can appear in two basic forms, common opal (potch) or precious opal. The differences are pretty obvious, precious opal has play of colour, ie it shines and shimmies. Precious opal goes anywhere from 10 dollars a carat to 10,000 dollars a carat. Potch is pretty much free (although I sometimes buy it online for doublets).
Colour of the opal?
For those who live in the USA, Australians tend to use the UK spelling for most things. Therefore what you would call "color" is "colour" to us :)
Grading system
Much effort has been put into a grading system for opal. This is based loosely on the darkness of the colour of the potch backing (body tone or N value), play of colour, brightness of the precious opal, dimensions and of course the weight in carats.
Body tone (N value)
Body tone chart (taken from opals down under) demonstrating how N values of the potch assist in the classification of a black opal, a dark opal or a light opal. FYI many cutters don't bother differentiating between dark and light if the rough is from Lightning Ridge
Body tone impacts the price of opal in a big way. there are only 2 locations in the world that supply black opal on a regular basis, and one of those locations is dubious! Getting a good black opal is therefore very rare, and this obviously affects market availability and consumer demand.
As a very rough guide, lets say that a dark opal gets maybe 50 dollars a carat added to the price and a black opal gets 100 dollars. We will do a practical example at the end of this article in which we add up all the values to get a theoretical stone price.
Play of colour
The part of an opal that everyone wants to see is the shimmer and shine. There are several parts to this, Brightness, pattern and colour. First we will look at brightness:
Brightness
A typical opal brightness chart- taken from galaxy of opal
The measure of an opals brightness is self explanatory. Its how bright the colours are. There is a lot of science behind this and I will cover this in excruciating detail, but basically shiny=good. The scale goes from B7 (can barely see the pattern) to B1 (so bright it nearly needs a warning label). A rough rule of thumb says that each unit of brightness is worth 50 dollars a carat. So a B7 is 50 bucks a carat, a B1 is 400 dollars a carat. Please don't take these numbers as binding, they are only the roughest of guides.
So far, an opal that is black with the brightest colours is about 500 bucks for a 1 carat stone. Lets put the other modifiers on and see what happens:
Pattern
Opal patterns are ridiculously hard to quantify. This is because an opal is essentially an individual. their pattern can be considered to be a fingerprint. Nevertheless, after studying a few opals, one can see that they fall into a few pattern categories, no doubt determined by the conditions of formation. Some brave souls have attempted to classify these patterns. We therefore have a few industry accepted opal patterns that have a range of values. I'll just zoom in on a few to give you an idea.
Moss pattern
An image from opal auctions of a moss pattern gem
This pattern can be considered a standard type of pattern. Best described as a pattern that looks like shiny moss growing on the stone. If an opal has this pattern, it is most likely that its value will be derived from other attributes such as brightness and body tone, but it can be quite an attractive opal. I would suggest there would be not much of an increase in price for this pattern
Chaff pattern
An image of a n opal with chaff pattern. Source: Opal auctions
An opal with a chaff pattern can be considered to be quite special. Chaff can be described as a series of small lines that pervade through the stone. Very often, an opal cutter will mention that chaff pattern is within the stone even if another pattern dominates. You can expect the value of a true chaff stone to increase by at least 150 dollars a carat.
Mosaic pattern
A mosaic opal pattern thanks to Treasurion.com
There are plenty of valuable opal patterns but the most sought after tends to be the mosaic pattern. This pattern can be identified by large, regular shapes of colour flaking all over the stone. One could expect a mosaic pattern stone to fetch an extra 250 dollars a carat.
Colour
I'll let you work out what a colour is. The value of colour on an opal goes from purple, to blue, to green, to yellow to red. blue may be 20 dollars a carat, green and yellow 50 dollars and red 100 dollars a carat.
Weight
There are a few tricks to weight: the first is that the measure of an opal (carats) is tiny! about 0.2 grams per carat, or 0.007 ounces in American money. The second is that the price per carat is not linear. a 3 carat stone may well be 10x more expensive than a 1 carat stone. This measure of all the measures I have mentioned is the most flexible but we will give quantifying it a go:
I suggest that we call this a geometric sequence of 2... and I am so sorry for the math!
So the value of an opal goes up by a double factor for every carat, eg a 2ct stone is 2x1ct stone, a 3ct stone is 4x the 1ct stone, a 4ct stone is 8x the value of a 1ct stone and so on.
Are we ready to try this out?
A 2ct N1 opal, red with highest brightness and a mosaic pattern should be roughly...
100+400+100+250 x 4 = $3400!
Lets see if we can find a stone for that price. Checking Black opal direct:
So this formula gives a much lower value to what a top opal cutter would ask. I would suggest however that the prices we charge are more in line with that formula- seeing I use it all the time...
And this is only just a guide. I hope it helps! See you next time :)
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